The xGorithm · Bournemouth v Everton

‹ Fixture Centre

Match Intelligence

Premier LeaguePre-match

BOU

Bournemouth

EVE

Everton

EARLY VIEW · LINEUPS PENDINGPlayer markets remain provisional

UpdatedLatest production refresh

Match ProbabilityxGorithm model

55.7%Bournemouth

22.7%Draw

21.6%Everton

Model Expected Goals

1.788Bournemouth

–

1.028Everton

The xGorithm View

Strong model signals for this fixture.

Curated by the frozen xGorithm View engine from the current production probabilities.

Bournemouth Over 11.5 (12+)

Team Shots Model

80.6%

Why the model likes it: Gate 4 SEASON_MATCHUP_POISSON projected shots 14.86 Evidence sample: 39 subject / 39 opponent.

Percentages shown are xGorithm model probabilities, not bookmaker implied probabilities. Bookmaker prices will appear separately once connected.

Game Profile

Headline leans

Goals

Over 1.5 (2+)

77.2%

BTTS

No strong lean

Corners

Over 7.5 (8+)

78.7%

Cards

Over 2.5 (3+)

72.8%

Team Intelligence

Full supported ladders

Over 0.5 (1+)

Team Goals

83.3%

Over 0.5 (1+)83.3%

Over 1.5 (2+)53.4%

Over 2.5 (3+)26.6%

Over 3.5 (4+)

Team Corners

80.4%

Over 1.5 (2+)97.5%

Over 2.5 (3+)91.5%

Over 3.5 (4+)80.4%

Over 4.5 (5+)65.0%

Over 5.5 (6+)47.9%

Over 0.5 (1+)

Team Cards

82.4%

Over 0.5 (1+)82.4%

Over 1.5 (2+)51.8%

Over 2.5 (3+)25.2%

Over 3.5 (4+)9.8%

Over 11.5 (12+)

Team Shots

80.6%

Over 6.5 (7+)99.2%

Over 7.5 (8+)98.0%

Over 8.5 (9+)96.0%

Over 9.5 (10+)92.5%

Over 10.5 (11+)87.5%

Over 11.5 (12+)80.6%

Over 12.5 (13+)72.1%

Over 13.5 (14+)62.3%

Over 14.5 (15+)52.0%

Over 15.5 (16+)41.8%

Over 2.5 (3+)

Team Shots on Target

84.7%

Over 1.5 (2+)94.8%

Over 2.5 (3+)84.7%

Over 3.5 (4+)68.9%

Over 4.5 (5+)50.4%

Over 5.5 (6+)33.0%

Over 8.5 (9+)

Team Fouls

79.4%

Over 7.5 (8+)87.5%

Over 8.5 (9+)79.4%

Over 9.5 (10+)69.2%

Over 10.5 (11+)57.6%

Over 11.5 (12+)45.7%

Over 12.5 (13+)34.5%

Over 13.5 (14+)24.8%

Over 14.5 (15+)16.9%

Over 2.5 (3+)

Team Corners

83.0%

Over 1.5 (2+)94.0%

Over 2.5 (3+)83.0%

Over 3.5 (4+)66.3%

Over 4.5 (5+)47.4%

Over 5.5 (6+)30.2%

Over 0.5 (1+)

Team Cards

87.1%

Over 0.5 (1+)87.1%

Over 1.5 (2+)60.7%

Over 2.5 (3+)33.6%

Over 3.5 (4+)15.2%

Over 7.5 (8+)

Team Shots

84.2%

Over 6.5 (7+)91.2%

Over 7.5 (8+)84.2%

Over 8.5 (9+)74.9%

Over 9.5 (10+)63.6%

Over 10.5 (11+)51.4%

Over 11.5 (12+)39.5%

Over 12.5 (13+)28.8%

Over 13.5 (14+)19.9%

Over 14.5 (15+)13.1%

Over 15.5 (16+)8.2%

Over 2.5 (3+)

Team Shots on Target

72.9%

Over 1.5 (2+)89.1%

Over 2.5 (3+)72.9%

Over 3.5 (4+)52.3%

Over 4.5 (5+)32.9%

Over 5.5 (6+)18.2%

Over 8.5 (9+)

Team Fouls

74.3%

Over 7.5 (8+)83.8%

Over 8.5 (9+)74.3%

Over 9.5 (10+)62.9%

Over 10.5 (11+)50.7%

Over 11.5 (12+)38.8%

Over 12.5 (13+)28.2%

Over 13.5 (14+)19.4%

Over 14.5 (15+)12.7%

Build

Your choice

Choose your risk

How brave are we feeling?

xGorithm finds the most credible combination of events that lands near your chosen return. Model probability first. No filler legs.

PARK THE BUS

Low risk.
Keep it tidy.

2.02x return proxy

Adjusted joint model probability Chance of every leg landing together

42.7%

Over 2.5 (3+) Bournemouth · Team Shots on Target

84.7%

Over 0.5 (1+) Bournemouth · Team Cards

82.4%

Over 3.5 (4+) Bournemouth · Team Corners

80.4%

Bournemouth or Draw Double Chance

78.4%

GAME MANAGEMENT

Controlled.
A little ambition.

2.78x return proxy

Adjusted joint model probability Chance of every leg landing together

40.4%

Over 2.5 (3+) Match Cards

72.8%

Bournemouth 1X2

55.7%

THE PRESS

Higher tempo.
More moving parts.

4.55x return proxy

Adjusted joint model probability Chance of every leg landing together

21.9%

Over 2.5 (3+) Match Cards

72.8%

Bournemouth 1X2

55.7%

Over 9.5 (10+) Match Corners

55.2%

ALL OUT ATTACK

Aggressive.
Now we’re swinging.

9.41x return proxy

Adjusted joint model probability Chance of every leg landing together

8.4%

Over 10.5 (11+) Bournemouth · Team Fouls

57.6%

Bournemouth 1X2

55.7%

Over 9.5 (10+) Match Corners

55.2%

Over 10.5 (11+) Everton · Team Fouls

50.7%

THE END GAME

Big return.
Everything has to click.

18.92x return proxy

Adjusted joint model probability Chance of every leg landing together

2.3%

Over 8.5 (9+) Everton · Team Fouls

74.3%

Over 2.5 (3+) Everton · Team Shots on Target

72.9%

Over 3.5 (4+) Everton · Team Corners

66.3%

Bournemouth 1X2

55.7%

Over 9.5 (10+) Match Corners

55.2%

Over 3.5 (4+) Match Cards

52.3%

Over 4.5 (5+) Bournemouth · Team Shots on Target

50.4%

Not bookmaker odds. The return shown is the Builder engine retail-return proxy. Actual bookmaker pricing will sit beside it once connected.

Your bet. Our intelligence.

Pick the outcomes you like.

Browse the frozen model markets for this fixture and choose your own combination. Eligible player markets use the same lineup rules as Match Intelligence.

Strong signals xGorithm View

1X2 Match market

BTTS Match market

Double Chance Match market

Draw No Bet Match market

Match Cards Match market

Match Corners Match market

Total Goals Match market

Bournemouth Team Cards

Bournemouth Team Corners

Bournemouth Team Fouls

Bournemouth Team Goals

Bournemouth Team Shots

Bournemouth Team Shots on Target

Everton Team Cards

Everton Team Corners

Everton Team Fouls

Everton Team Goals

Everton Team Shots

Everton Team Shots on Target

Adrien Truffert Player Fouls

Adrien Truffert Player Fouls Won

Adrien Truffert Player Passes

Adrien Truffert Player Shots

Adrien Truffert Player SOT

Adrien Truffert Player Tackles

Iliman Ndiaye Player Fouls

Iliman Ndiaye Player Fouls Won

Iliman Ndiaye Player Passes

Iliman Ndiaye Player Shots

Iliman Ndiaye Player SOT

Iliman Ndiaye Player Tackles

James Tarkowski Player Fouls

James Tarkowski Player Fouls Won

James Tarkowski Player Passes

James Tarkowski Player Shots

James Tarkowski Player SOT

James Tarkowski Player Tackles

Jordan Pickford Goalkeeper Saves

Jordan Pickford Player Fouls

Jordan Pickford Player Fouls Won

Jordan Pickford Player Passes

Jordan Pickford Player Shots

Jordan Pickford Player SOT

Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall Player Fouls

Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall Player Fouls Won

Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall Player Passes

Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall Player Shots

Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall Player SOT

Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall Player Tackles

Marcus Tavernier Player Fouls

Marcus Tavernier Player Fouls Won

Marcus Tavernier Player Passes

Marcus Tavernier Player Shots

Marcus Tavernier Player SOT

Marcus Tavernier Player Tackles

Vitaliy Mykolenko Player Fouls

Vitaliy Mykolenko Player Fouls Won

Vitaliy Mykolenko Player Passes

Vitaliy Mykolenko Player Shots

Vitaliy Mykolenko Player SOT

Vitaliy Mykolenko Player Tackles

Đorđe Petrović Goalkeeper Saves

Đorđe Petrović Player Fouls

Đorđe Petrović Player Fouls Won

Đorđe Petrović Player Passes

Đorđe Petrović Player Shots

Đorđe Petrović Player SOT

Your selections 0 legs

— ADJUSTED JOINT MODEL PROBABILITY

Select a leg to start building.

Generated from current xGorithm production outputs. LINEUP PENDING player markets remain provisional until official team news.

Strong model signals for this fixture.

Game Profile

Team Intelligence

Team Intelligence

Player Intelligence

Build

How brave are we feeling?

Pick the outcomes you like.