EARLY VIEW · LINEUPS PENDINGPlayer markets remain provisional
UpdatedLatest production refresh
Match ProbabilityxGorithm model
71.8%Manchester United
16.6%Draw
11.6%Ipswich
Model Expected Goals
xG = Expected Goals. It estimates the quality of scoring chances a team is expected to create. It is not a score prediction.
2.084Manchester United
–
0.753Ipswich
The xGorithm View
No headline View for this fixture.
Curated by the frozen xGorithm View engine from the current production probabilities.
NO STRONG VIEWThe model still has full Match Intelligence below, but nothing clears the headline View rules for this fixture.
Percentages shown are xGorithm model probabilities, not bookmaker implied probabilities. Bookmaker prices will appear separately once connected.
Game Profile
Headline leans
Goals
Over 1.5 (2+)
77.5%
BTTS
No strong lean
Corners
Over 7.5 (8+)
75.9%
Cards
Over 2.5 (3+)
72.4%
Team Intelligence
Full supported ladders
Over 0.5 (1+)
Team Goals
87.6%
Over 0.5 (1+)87.6%
Over 1.5 (2+)61.6%
Over 2.5 (3+)34.6%
Over 3.5 (4+)
Team Corners
77.5%
Over 1.5 (2+)96.9%
Over 2.5 (3+)89.9%
Over 3.5 (4+)77.5%
Over 4.5 (5+)61.2%
Over 5.5 (6+)43.8%
Over 0.5 (1+)
Team Cards
79.6%
Over 0.5 (1+)79.6%
Over 1.5 (2+)47.2%
Over 2.5 (3+)21.4%
Over 3.5 (4+)7.8%
Over 11.5 (12+)
Team Shots
84.0%
Over 6.5 (7+)99.4%
Over 7.5 (8+)98.6%
Over 8.5 (9+)97.0%
Over 9.5 (10+)94.2%
Over 10.5 (11+)90.0%
Over 11.5 (12+)84.0%
Over 12.5 (13+)76.4%
Over 13.5 (14+)67.4%
Over 14.5 (15+)57.5%
Over 15.5 (16+)47.3%
Over 3.5 (4+)
Team Shots on Target
75.4%
Over 1.5 (2+)96.4%
Over 2.5 (3+)88.7%
Over 3.5 (4+)75.4%
Over 4.5 (5+)58.4%
Over 5.5 (6+)40.9%
Over 8.5 (9+)
Team Fouls
71.2%
Over 7.5 (8+)81.5%
Over 8.5 (9+)71.2%
Over 9.5 (10+)59.3%
Over 10.5 (11+)46.9%
Over 11.5 (12+)35.1%
Over 12.5 (13+)24.9%
Over 13.5 (14+)16.8%
Over 14.5 (15+)10.7%
Over 2.5 (3+)
Team Corners
82.3%
Over 1.5 (2+)93.7%
Over 2.5 (3+)82.3%
Over 3.5 (4+)65.2%
Over 4.5 (5+)46.2%
Over 5.5 (6+)29.2%
Over 0.5 (1+)
Team Cards
88.5%
Over 0.5 (1+)88.5%
Over 1.5 (2+)63.6%
Over 2.5 (3+)36.8%
Over 3.5 (4+)17.3%
Over 7.5 (8+)
Team Shots
84.1%
Over 6.5 (7+)91.1%
Over 7.5 (8+)84.1%
Over 8.5 (9+)74.6%
Over 9.5 (10+)63.3%
Over 10.5 (11+)51.1%
Over 11.5 (12+)39.2%
Over 12.5 (13+)28.5%
Over 13.5 (14+)19.7%
Over 14.5 (15+)12.9%
Over 15.5 (16+)8.0%
Over 2.5 (3+)
Team Shots on Target
71.3%
Over 1.5 (2+)88.3%
Over 2.5 (3+)71.3%
Over 3.5 (4+)50.4%
Over 4.5 (5+)31.1%
Over 5.5 (6+)16.9%
Over 8.5 (9+)
Team Fouls
76.8%
Over 7.5 (8+)85.7%
Over 8.5 (9+)76.8%
Over 9.5 (10+)66.0%
Over 10.5 (11+)54.1%
Over 11.5 (12+)42.1%
Over 12.5 (13+)31.2%
Over 13.5 (14+)21.9%
Over 14.5 (15+)14.6%
Team Intelligence
Full supported ladders
Over 0.5 (1+)
Team Goals
87.6%
Over 0.5 (1+)87.6%
Over 1.5 (2+)61.6%
Over 2.5 (3+)34.6%
Over 3.5 (4+)
Team Corners
77.5%
Over 1.5 (2+)96.9%
Over 2.5 (3+)89.9%
Over 3.5 (4+)77.5%
Over 4.5 (5+)61.2%
Over 5.5 (6+)43.8%
Over 0.5 (1+)
Team Cards
79.6%
Over 0.5 (1+)79.6%
Over 1.5 (2+)47.2%
Over 2.5 (3+)21.4%
Over 3.5 (4+)7.8%
Over 11.5 (12+)
Team Shots
84.0%
Over 6.5 (7+)99.4%
Over 7.5 (8+)98.6%
Over 8.5 (9+)97.0%
Over 9.5 (10+)94.2%
Over 10.5 (11+)90.0%
Over 11.5 (12+)84.0%
Over 12.5 (13+)76.4%
Over 13.5 (14+)67.4%
Over 14.5 (15+)57.5%
Over 15.5 (16+)47.3%
Over 3.5 (4+)
Team Shots on Target
75.4%
Over 1.5 (2+)96.4%
Over 2.5 (3+)88.7%
Over 3.5 (4+)75.4%
Over 4.5 (5+)58.4%
Over 5.5 (6+)40.9%
Over 8.5 (9+)
Team Fouls
71.2%
Over 7.5 (8+)81.5%
Over 8.5 (9+)71.2%
Over 9.5 (10+)59.3%
Over 10.5 (11+)46.9%
Over 11.5 (12+)35.1%
Over 12.5 (13+)24.9%
Over 13.5 (14+)16.8%
Over 14.5 (15+)10.7%
Over 2.5 (3+)
Team Corners
82.3%
Over 1.5 (2+)93.7%
Over 2.5 (3+)82.3%
Over 3.5 (4+)65.2%
Over 4.5 (5+)46.2%
Over 5.5 (6+)29.2%
Over 0.5 (1+)
Team Cards
88.5%
Over 0.5 (1+)88.5%
Over 1.5 (2+)63.6%
Over 2.5 (3+)36.8%
Over 3.5 (4+)17.3%
Over 7.5 (8+)
Team Shots
84.1%
Over 6.5 (7+)91.1%
Over 7.5 (8+)84.1%
Over 8.5 (9+)74.6%
Over 9.5 (10+)63.3%
Over 10.5 (11+)51.1%
Over 11.5 (12+)39.2%
Over 12.5 (13+)28.5%
Over 13.5 (14+)19.7%
Over 14.5 (15+)12.9%
Over 15.5 (16+)8.0%
Over 2.5 (3+)
Team Shots on Target
71.3%
Over 1.5 (2+)88.3%
Over 2.5 (3+)71.3%
Over 3.5 (4+)50.4%
Over 4.5 (5+)31.1%
Over 5.5 (6+)16.9%
Over 8.5 (9+)
Team Fouls
76.8%
Over 7.5 (8+)85.7%
Over 8.5 (9+)76.8%
Over 9.5 (10+)66.0%
Over 10.5 (11+)54.1%
Over 11.5 (12+)42.1%
Over 12.5 (13+)31.2%
Over 13.5 (14+)21.9%
Over 14.5 (15+)14.6%
Player Intelligence
Confirmed / likely starters
Senne Lammens
LINEUP PENDING
START CHANCE91.8%
Over 19.5 (20+) · Player Passes88.8%
Over 2.5 (3+) · Goalkeeper Saves55.4%
Luke Shaw
LINEUP PENDING
START CHANCE99.0%
Over 0.5 (1+) · Player Tackles79.6%
Over 29.5 (30+) · Player Passes67.8%
Over 0.5 (1+) · Player Fouls67.5%
Bruno Fernandes
LINEUP PENDING
START CHANCE91.8%
Over 0.5 (1+) · Player Tackles68.9%
Over 39.5 (40+) · Player Passes67.5%
Over 0.5 (1+) · Player Shots66.5%
Build
Your choice
Choose your risk
How brave are we feeling?
xGorithm finds the most credible combination of events that lands near your chosen return. Model probability first. No filler legs.
PARK THE BUS
Low risk. Keep it tidy.
2.04xreturn proxy
Adjusted joint model probabilityChance of every leg landing together
42.0%
1
Manchester United or DrawDouble Chance
88.4%
2
Over 7.5 (8+)Ipswich · Team Shots
84.1%
3
Over 8.5 (9+)Ipswich · Team Fouls
76.8%
4
Over 7.5 (8+)Match Corners
75.9%
GAME MANAGEMENT
Controlled. A little ambition.
2.79xreturn proxy
Adjusted joint model probabilityChance of every leg landing together
34.6%
1
Over 3.5 (4+)Ipswich · Team Corners
65.2%
2
NoBTTS
53.7%
THE PRESS
Higher tempo. More moving parts.
4.73xreturn proxy
Adjusted joint model probabilityChance of every leg landing together
17.6%
1
Manchester United or IpswichDouble Chance
83.4%
2
Over 0.5 (1+)Manchester United · Team Cards
79.6%
3
NoBTTS
53.7%
4
Over 9.5 (10+)Match Corners
51.4%
ALL OUT ATTACK
Aggressive. Now we’re swinging.
9.54xreturn proxy
Adjusted joint model probabilityChance of every leg landing together
6.9%
1
Manchester United or IpswichDouble Chance
83.4%
2
Over 1.5 (2+)Ipswich · Team Cards
63.6%
3
NoBTTS
53.7%
4
Over 9.5 (10+)Match Corners
51.4%
5
Over 3.5 (4+)Ipswich · Team Shots on Target
50.4%
THE END GAME
Big return. Everything has to click.
18.57xreturn proxy
Adjusted joint model probabilityChance of every leg landing together
3.3%
1
Manchester United or IpswichDouble Chance
83.4%
2
Over 10.5 (11+)Manchester United · Team Fouls
46.9%
3
Under 2.5Total Goals
46.1%
4
Over 4.5 (5+)Ipswich · Team Corners
46.2%
5
Over 5.5 (6+)Manchester United · Team Corners
43.8%
Not bookmaker odds.
The return shown is the Builder engine retail-return proxy. Actual bookmaker pricing will sit beside it once connected.
Your bet. Our intelligence.
Pick the outcomes you like.
Browse the frozen model markets for this fixture and choose your own combination. Eligible player markets use the same lineup rules as Match Intelligence.
No headline View selections for this fixture. The full market browser is still available below.
Strong signalsxGorithm View
NO STRONG VIEW for this fixture.
1X2Match market
BTTSMatch market
Double ChanceMatch market
Draw No BetMatch market
Match CardsMatch market
Match CornersMatch market
Total GoalsMatch market
IpswichTeam Cards
IpswichTeam Corners
IpswichTeam Fouls
IpswichTeam Goals
IpswichTeam Shots
IpswichTeam Shots on Target
Manchester UnitedTeam Cards
Manchester UnitedTeam Corners
Manchester UnitedTeam Fouls
Manchester UnitedTeam Goals
Manchester UnitedTeam Shots
Manchester UnitedTeam Shots on Target
Bruno FernandesPlayer Fouls
Bruno FernandesPlayer Fouls Won
Bruno FernandesPlayer Passes
Bruno FernandesPlayer Shots
Bruno FernandesPlayer SOT
Bruno FernandesPlayer Tackles
Luke ShawPlayer Fouls
Luke ShawPlayer Fouls Won
Luke ShawPlayer Passes
Luke ShawPlayer Shots
Luke ShawPlayer SOT
Luke ShawPlayer Tackles
Senne LammensGoalkeeper Saves
Senne LammensPlayer Fouls
Senne LammensPlayer Fouls Won
Senne LammensPlayer Passes
Senne LammensPlayer Shots
Senne LammensPlayer SOT
Your selections0 legs
—
ADJUSTED JOINT MODEL PROBABILITY
Select a leg to start building.
Generated from current xGorithm production outputs. LINEUP PENDING player markets remain provisional until official team news.