The xGorithm · Sunderland v Fulham

‹ Fixture Centre

Match Intelligence

Premier LeaguePre-match

SUN

Sunderland

FUL

Fulham

EARLY VIEW · LINEUPS PENDINGPlayer markets remain provisional

UpdatedLatest production refresh

Match ProbabilityxGorithm model

36.8%Sunderland

28.2%Draw

35.0%Fulham

Model Expected Goals

1.322Sunderland

–

1.283Fulham

The xGorithm View

Strong model signals for this fixture.

Curated by the frozen xGorithm View engine from the current production probabilities.

Total Goals Under 3.5

Total Goals Model

73.5%

Why the model likes it: Compact Goals Intensity v2 + Team Strength v2 scoring share Evidence sample: 39 subject / 39 opponent.

Percentages shown are xGorithm model probabilities, not bookmaker implied probabilities. Bookmaker prices will appear separately once connected.

Game Profile

Headline leans

Goals

Under 3.5

73.5%

BTTS

No strong lean

Corners

Over 7.5 (8+)

74.3%

Cards

Over 2.5 (3+)

75.8%

Team Intelligence

Full supported ladders

Over 0.5 (1+)

Team Goals

73.4%

Over 0.5 (1+)73.4%

Over 1.5 (2+)38.1%

Over 2.5 (3+)14.8%

Over 3.5 (4+)

Team Corners

73.7%

Over 1.5 (2+)96.0%

Over 2.5 (3+)87.6%

Over 3.5 (4+)73.7%

Over 4.5 (5+)56.2%

Over 5.5 (6+)38.6%

Over 0.5 (1+)

Team Cards

83.3%

Over 0.5 (1+)83.3%

Over 1.5 (2+)53.4%

Over 2.5 (3+)26.6%

Over 3.5 (4+)10.7%

Over 9.5 (10+)

Team Shots

81.4%

Over 6.5 (7+)96.9%

Over 7.5 (8+)93.7%

Over 8.5 (9+)88.6%

Over 9.5 (10+)81.4%

Over 10.5 (11+)72.2%

Over 11.5 (12+)61.6%

Over 12.5 (13+)50.4%

Over 13.5 (14+)39.4%

Over 14.5 (15+)29.5%

Over 15.5 (16+)21.1%

Over 2.5 (3+)

Team Shots on Target

77.6%

Over 1.5 (2+)91.5%

Over 2.5 (3+)77.6%

Over 3.5 (4+)58.5%

Over 4.5 (5+)39.0%

Over 5.5 (6+)23.0%

Over 0.5 (1+)

Team Goals

72.3%

Over 0.5 (1+)72.3%

Over 1.5 (2+)36.7%

Over 2.5 (3+)13.9%

Over 2.5 (3+)

Team Corners

83.8%

Over 1.5 (2+)94.4%

Over 2.5 (3+)83.8%

Over 3.5 (4+)67.4%

Over 4.5 (5+)48.7%

Over 5.5 (6+)31.4%

Over 0.5 (1+)

Team Cards

88.8%

Over 0.5 (1+)88.8%

Over 1.5 (2+)64.2%

Over 2.5 (3+)37.4%

Over 3.5 (4+)17.8%

Over 9.5 (10+)

Team Shots

74.0%

Over 6.5 (7+)94.9%

Over 7.5 (8+)90.2%

Over 8.5 (9+)83.2%

Over 9.5 (10+)74.0%

Over 10.5 (11+)63.2%

Over 11.5 (12+)51.6%

Over 12.5 (13+)40.2%

Over 13.5 (14+)29.8%

Over 14.5 (15+)21.1%

Over 15.5 (16+)14.2%

Over 2.5 (3+)

Team Shots on Target

72.7%

Over 1.5 (2+)89.1%

Over 2.5 (3+)72.7%

Over 3.5 (4+)52.2%

Over 4.5 (5+)32.8%

Over 5.5 (6+)18.1%

Over 8.5 (9+)

Team Fouls

78.5%

Over 7.5 (8+)86.9%

Over 8.5 (9+)78.5%

Over 9.5 (10+)68.1%

Over 10.5 (11+)56.4%

Over 11.5 (12+)44.5%

Over 12.5 (13+)33.4%

Over 13.5 (14+)23.8%

Over 14.5 (15+)16.1%

Build

Your choice

Choose your risk

How brave are we feeling?

xGorithm finds the most credible combination of events that lands near your chosen return. Model probability first. No filler legs.

PARK THE BUS

Low risk.
Keep it tidy.

2.02x return proxy

Adjusted joint model probability Chance of every leg landing together

44.3%

Over 0.5 (1+) Sunderland · Team Cards

83.3%

Over 7.5 (8+) Match Corners

74.3%

Over 2.5 (3+) Fulham · Team Shots on Target

72.7%

GAME MANAGEMENT

Controlled.
A little ambition.

2.88x return proxy

Adjusted joint model probability Chance of every leg landing together

28.5%

Over 2.5 (3+) Match Cards

75.8%

Over 7.5 (8+) Match Corners

74.3%

Over 2.5 (3+) Fulham · Team Shots on Target

72.7%

Sunderland or Fulham Double Chance

71.8%

THE PRESS

Higher tempo.
More moving parts.

4.68x return proxy

Adjusted joint model probability Chance of every leg landing together

16.7%

Over 8.5 (9+) Sunderland · Team Fouls

69.1%

Sunderland or Draw Double Chance

65.0%

Over 8.5 (9+) Match Corners

62.2%

Over 11.5 (12+) Sunderland · Team Shots

61.6%

ALL OUT ATTACK

Aggressive.
Now we’re swinging.

9.40x return proxy

Adjusted joint model probability Chance of every leg landing together

5.2%

Over 8.5 (9+) Sunderland · Team Fouls

69.1%

Sunderland or Draw Double Chance

65.0%

Over 1.5 (2+) Fulham · Team Cards

64.2%

Over 8.5 (9+) Match Corners

62.2%

Over 3.5 (4+) Sunderland · Team Shots on Target

58.5%

Over 4.5 (5+) Sunderland · Team Corners

56.2%

THE END GAME

Big return.
Everything has to click.

18.20x return proxy

Adjusted joint model probability Chance of every leg landing together

2.8%

Over 10.5 (11+) Fulham · Team Fouls

56.4%

Over 3.5 (4+) Fulham · Team Shots on Target

52.2%

Over 9.5 (10+) Match Corners

49.3%

Over 4.5 (5+) Fulham · Team Corners

48.7%

Over 10.5 (11+) Sunderland · Team Fouls

44.4%

Not bookmaker odds. The return shown is the Builder engine retail-return proxy. Actual bookmaker pricing will sit beside it once connected.

Your bet. Our intelligence.

Pick the outcomes you like.

Browse the frozen model markets for this fixture and choose your own combination. Eligible player markets use the same lineup rules as Match Intelligence.

Strong signals xGorithm View

1X2 Match market

BTTS Match market

Double Chance Match market

Draw No Bet Match market

Match Cards Match market

Match Corners Match market

Total Goals Match market

Fulham Team Cards

Fulham Team Corners

Fulham Team Fouls

Fulham Team Goals

Fulham Team Shots

Fulham Team Shots on Target

Sunderland Team Cards

Sunderland Team Corners

Sunderland Team Fouls

Sunderland Team Goals

Sunderland Team Shots

Sunderland Team Shots on Target

Bernd Leno Goalkeeper Saves

Bernd Leno Player Fouls

Bernd Leno Player Fouls Won

Bernd Leno Player Passes

Bernd Leno Player Shots

Bernd Leno Player SOT

Calvin Bassey Player Fouls

Calvin Bassey Player Fouls Won

Calvin Bassey Player Passes

Calvin Bassey Player Shots

Calvin Bassey Player SOT

Calvin Bassey Player Tackles

Granit Xhaka Player Fouls

Granit Xhaka Player Fouls Won

Granit Xhaka Player Passes

Granit Xhaka Player Shots

Granit Xhaka Player SOT

Granit Xhaka Player Tackles

Noah Sadiki Player Fouls

Noah Sadiki Player Fouls Won

Noah Sadiki Player Passes

Noah Sadiki Player Shots

Noah Sadiki Player SOT

Noah Sadiki Player Tackles

Your selections 0 legs

— ADJUSTED JOINT MODEL PROBABILITY

Select a leg to start building.

Generated from current xGorithm production outputs. LINEUP PENDING player markets remain provisional until official team news.

Strong model signals for this fixture.

Game Profile

Team Intelligence

Team Intelligence

Player Intelligence

Build

How brave are we feeling?

Pick the outcomes you like.