Manchester City v Bournemouth
Projected goals1.565 - 1.139
Sample2
ConfidenceLOW
Probability rows exist, but the historical sample is LOW, so the app is deliberately not presenting them as actionable picks.
THE xGORITHM
Model
Probability Engine v0.7.2
1069 probabilities
Priced52bookmaker-matched rows
Held52low-sample protection
Qualify0cleared value gate
Fixtures4modelled
Card Mode is value-first. LOW samples remain HELD even when an apparent edge exists.
Card
value layerNo Card qualifiers yet.
52 rows are priced. 52 are currently HELD by the low-sample protection gate. Once the sample reaches 8+, those rows can resolve to QUALIFY / PASS automatically.
52 rows are priced. 52 are currently HELD by the low-sample protection gate. Once the sample reaches 8+, those rows can resolve to QUALIFY / PASS automatically.
Fixture Models
probability layer
Brighton v Aston Villa
Projected goals1.52 - 1.097
Sample2
ConfidenceLOW
Probability rows exist, but the historical sample is LOW, so the app is deliberately not presenting them as actionable picks.
Newcastle United v Liverpool
Projected goals1.492 - 1.155
Sample2
ConfidenceLOW
Probability rows exist, but the historical sample is LOW, so the app is deliberately not presenting them as actionable picks.
Fulham v Chelsea
Projected goals1.43 - 1.273
Sample2
ConfidenceLOW
Probability rows exist, but the historical sample is LOW, so the app is deliberately not presenting them as actionable picks.